ONUS / INVESTOR OVERVIEW
The Accountability Platform for a $45B Industry.
HackHealth 2026 — Full financial model, business case, and Q&A below.
$21K
MRR at 1,000 users
$254K
ARR at 1,000 users
$23.47
Blended ARPU
90%
Profit margin
77M
US gym members (HFA 2024)
Interactive KPI dashboard
1,000 users
Gross Revenue
$23,484
Operating Costs
-$2,316
Net Revenue
$21,169
90.1% margin
Revenue breakdown
Revenue mix
Tier distribution
MRR
$9,590
ARR
$115,080
Blended ARPU
$23.48
Profit Margin
90%
Three revenue streams
Subscription fees provide predictable MRR. Penalty revenue scales automatically with user behavior — no additional sales effort required. Partner commissions unlock a B2B layer as the rewards ecosystem grows.
Why margins stay high
Infrastructure costs are near-fixed. Adding user #1,001 costs virtually nothing extra. At 1,000 users, fixed opex is $360/month against $23K+ MRR. Stripe fees are the only variable cost, and they scale proportionally with revenue.
The penalty flywheel
Penalty revenue at 1,000 users ($13,882/month) already exceeds subscription revenue ($9,590/month). As users scale, penalty revenue compounds faster because it's driven by behavior, not just headcount. The 45% rewards pool converts to Onus Points — not cash — keeping value locked inside the ecosystem.
The opportunity
77M
US gym members — record high (HFA, 2024)
67%
of memberships go rarely or never used (industry estimate)
51M+
people paying for gyms they don't use — Onus's addressable market
A $45–46B industry with a retention crisis.
The US fitness industry hit $45–46B in revenue in 2025 (HFA), yet one in three members quits every year. The average annual retention rate is just 66.4% (HFA 2025 Benchmarking Report). Existing solutions — streaks, badges, social sharing — produce zero financial consequence for quitting. Onus introduces the missing variable: real stakes.
50%
of new members quit within 6 months (HFA, 2025)
66.4%
average annual gym retention rate (HFA 2025 Benchmarking Report)
Why Onus wins
Brand-toxic for incumbents
WHOOP, Strava, and Planet Fitness cannot penalize their own users for missing workouts — the backlash would be immediate. Onus owns this positioning because it requires a brand built around accountability from day one, not retrofitted onto an existing product.
DietBet does it. We do it better.
DietBet and StepBet proved financial accountability works. Onus is different: continuous subscription relationship (not episodic challenges), gym-specific geolocation verification (not weigh-in photos), and a rewards ecosystem that builds long-term loyalty. DietBet is a fantasy league. Onus is a gym membership with teeth.
The penalty mechanism is a moat
The legal and reputational risk of a penalty-based model keeps large incumbents out. We've structured user agreements to make consent, terms, and cancellation explicit — analogous to DietBet and StepBet, which have operated under similar structures for over a decade.
Common questions
The questions we expect — and our answers.
No. Onus is a subscription service where users voluntarily enter a commitment contract with explicitly agreed-upon penalty terms. This is legally analogous to platforms like DietBet and StepBet, which have operated for over a decade. Gambling requires a prize funded by losses of other participants — Onus penalties are revenue to Onus, not a prize pool. Each user sets their own session frequency and penalty amount. Consent, terms, and cancellation are made explicit at onboarding. We've reviewed comparable platform structures and plan formal legal review pre-launch.
Geolocation spoofing is a known attack vector with layered mitigations: GPS coordinates must match a registered gym within a configurable radius, check-in timestamps are validated against historical patterns, and our roadmap includes optional WHOOP and Apple Health biometric verification (heart rate elevation concurrent with check-in). Critically, the incentive structure inverts the fraud problem — Onus users sign up because they want accountability. Cheating the system means cheating yourself, which defeats the product's entire value proposition.
Users sign a digital commitment contract at onboarding that explicitly states penalty terms — not buried in ToS. Stripe's infrastructure handles disputes with documented transaction metadata. Committed and Dedicated tiers include one free miss per billing period, reducing adversarial edge cases. Subscription revenue provides a stable base regardless of penalty disputes.
Three reasons they won't. First, adding a financial penalty feature to an existing product would generate massive user backlash — "you're punishing us" — for any brand that didn't launch with accountability as its core identity. Second, incumbents face legal review, internal politics, and brand risk that a purpose-built startup doesn't. Third, Onus is building the commitment infrastructure and rewards network — the ecosystem takes time to compound and creates switching costs that a feature can't replicate.
At 1,000 users with our assumed tier mix (50/25/15/10) and miss rates (45% miss 3x, 30% miss 2x, 20% miss 1x, 5% miss 0x): Subscription MRR is $9,590. Penalty revenue (Onus 55% share) adds $13,882. Total gross revenue: $23,472/month. After Stripe fees ($1,890) and fixed opex ($360), net revenue is $21,222/month — a 90% margin. The KPI dashboard above is fully interactive — drag the slider to model any user scale.
Early stage: organic and community-led — fitness subreddits, TikTok accountability content, referral loops within gyms (members invite workout partners). Target CAC under $20 through these channels. Scaled: gym chain co-marketing partnerships give warm, high-intent audiences at near-zero CAC. The product is inherently social — "I'm on Onus, you should join so we keep each other accountable" is a natural conversation that drives organic growth.
Phase 1 is gym accountability — prove the model, build the user base, activate the partner ecosystem. Phase 2 is B2B: corporate wellness programs ($50B+ market), gym chain white-label partnerships, and smart check-in hardware for gyms (dedicated devices that remove geolocation ambiguity and create a physical distribution moat). Phase 3 is the behavior change platform — applying the same commitment + penalty + reward mechanic to sleep, nutrition, focus, and other measurable habits. Think Brick (the phone-blocking app), but for every health behavior.
HFA's 2025 Benchmarking Report shows a 66.4% annual gym retention rate — meaning 1 in 3 members quits each year, implying consistent non-attendance before cancellation. Our miss rate distribution (45/30/20/5) is a conservative estimate based on this data. We've modeled it transparently and the assumptions expander in the dashboard above shows exactly how the math works. We'd rather present defensible conservative assumptions than optimistic projections.